Amazon vs Hachette, Alibaba updated IPO prospectus – eCommerce stories of the week

I have been ill and thus am still catching up on reading all the stories that have happened in the ecommerce industry over the last week. There are 2 major stories that has my attention at the moment – Amazon is currently in tough negotiations with Hachette and Warner Brothers.  Secondly, Alibaba has updated their IPO prospectus after the initial draft was deemed lacking of detail (critical detail I might add).

I wrote in 2012 that Amazon is potentially its biggest competitor and the happenings of the last 2 weeks have reinforced my belief that Amazon needs to be careful regarding supplier negotiation. Hachette’s books not being in search results or having buy buttons on their product pages only affect one company – Amazon. Remember that Amazon is the starting point for users looking to purchase products and if the products are not available, users will leave the Seattle based based and head off to Walmart, Google Shopping. What complicates this situation is that Amazon is the largest seller of books in the US (I would not be surprised if it was the same for DVD’s etc).  Clearly there is more this story but Amazon is having to play defence at a time in which ecommerce is changing due to a Chinese behemoth…

Alibaba on the other hand have filed an updated IPO filing with additional details such as key partners and more details about their 2 marketplaces (Tmall and Taobao). I find the timing of the unveiling of 11main also very interesting – it feels to me like it is almost a research and development business that will lead to a bigger acquisition. Alibaba is going to be controversial – the partnership structure as well as how the business is structured is going to pose questions for would be investors. As I said and keep saying – this will change ecommerce as an industry unlike any other IPO.

Continue Reading

JD.com IPO’s, Fab downsizes – eCommerce stories of the week

The last 2 weeks has been full of news, so much has happened globally that is takes a while to make sense of all of the news. In terms of the importance of news – I am going to highlight a few stories that has big implications for the next 12 months.

The second biggest B2C ecommerce business in China, JD.com has gone public in the US. This is not a small matter and the fact that they were able to raise $1.2 billion highlights to me that Alibaba is in position to raise a lot of money.  I definitely think that this IPO can be seen as a proxy for the mega IPO from Alibaba and it highlights the appetite that investors have for Chinese ecommerce companies.

Then the fab.com story took a step to the worse for their New York based staff. They were all told to “not report for work on Friday” and this just highlights to me that the business has fallen from grace completely. Jason Goldberg deleted his popular betashop blog and has said very little over this last round of downsizing. The irony for me is that fab.com has now become an online version of IKEA. The reality is that they grew too quickly, said way too much and have harmed an industry with their fall from grace. Is fab.com around in 2015?

The worst kept secret in Indian ecommerce has finally been announced. Flipkart has acquired Myntra in an all stock acquisition. This can be seen as the last stop before going public. The acquisition was driven by investors whom had interests in both companies and has nothing to do with consolidation. Quartz has a fantastic article written by Mahesh Murthy on this topic.

Continue Reading

What are the challenges for Alibaba post IPO?

Alibaba has been on my mind for the last 18 months. I have not been writing about the company as I researched, asked opinions from senior ecommerce executives and have been trying to understand the impact that the Chinese behemoth will have on ecommerce. Let me be frank – everything changes, it really is as simple as that.

The reality of Alibaba

I spent a few days reading the epic and first real look at Alibaba – its SEC IPO documentation. I have always thought that Amazon was a very difficult company to try and compartmentalise (the amount of disruptive businesses inside Amazon is small in comparison to Alibaba). In terms of business functionality Alibaba can be seen as the following:

  1. Amazon Marketplace
  2. Paypal
  3. UPS
  4. Amazon Webservices
  5. Fidelity investments (this is to be seen as comparison to Alibaba’s Yu’e Bao fund)
  6. Amazon’s MVNO for mobile phone contracts (which will be operational from June)

All of the above together is equal to Alibaba. There is no easy way to explain the scale that is seen at Alibaba.

The thing that makes Alibaba astounding is the size that they have. The scale that Alibaba has is partly due to the size of their home market (China) and the aggressive nature that they have defended their businesses.
Continue Reading

Alibaba files for IPO, Alibaba future challenges – eCommerce stories of the week

Alibaba Files IPO in the U.S, Four problems that irritate Amazon, but threaten Alibaba’s existence, Apple is No. 2 after Amazon in online retail, Zulily’s Delivery Problem: the Packages Pile Up, Aramex Partners With InPost For Middle East Parcel Locker Network, Singapore’s GIC leads $170 mln investment in Brazil’s Netshoes and much more

It is finally here – Alibaba has started the process to go public and be listed in the US. They are clearly managing the process – they still have not indicated whether they will be listing on the NYSE or the Nasdaq. The initial document contains a few caveats and is indicating that only a billion dollars is to be raised (that is not the final number) and I suspect that the investment banks are fighting between themselves for position. Potentially there is a $400 million prize awaiting the successful investment bank /s that ensures a successful IPO for Alibaba. There is a lot of information in the initial documents but not a single mention is seen regarding Taobao and Tmall (which in my mind is a potential gold mine for investors). Alibaba also faces challenges that normal western businesses are not privy to. Everyone seems to think that mobile is their biggest challenge for the future but I disagree (that is another blogpost coming soon).

A story worth noting is the giant $170 million round of funding that Netshoes raised. Netshoes is a business that gets very little press coverage but it is a giant pure play ecommerce business in Latin America. “This investment round is the largest in the history of Netshoes. It happens at a time of relative economic instability in the country, which proves the fact that good companies with solid fundamentals remain able to attract the attention of blue chip investors“, says José Rogério Luiz, Vice President of Corporate Development for Netshoes.” I can’t help but think we are close to a bubble in terms of ecommerce investment.

Continue Reading

Rakuten to enter India, Google acquires Rangespan & Amazon working on computer chips – eCommerce stories of the week

Ozon raises $150M capital, Rakuten to enter India?, Google acquires Rangespan, Amazon working on a computer chips, Mobile users contribute 50% of Snapdeal’s sales, Rakuten Taiwan and Google join forces in e-commerce market, Looks Like Groupon Wants to Take on Costco (And Amazon Pantry, Too) and much more..

Rakuten is talking about entering the Indian ecommerce market. It seems that they are interested in entering the market via a travel business. The Japanese company has global ambitions but I cant help feeling that they are entering the market to late. Flipkart, Snapdeal and Amazon have pretty much sown up the market and entering the market for Rakuten this late will cost millions of Dollars. The travel market is also competitive and thus this concept is one that Rakuten already executes well in Japan. Time will tell what Rakuten wants to do in India but it will be spending lots of money by entering a very competitive landscape.

Groupon has also shown its hand with Groupon Basics. The daily deals business that grew at an astonishing rate has been pivoting over the last 12 months to a combination of local and now pure play ecommerce. The problem that Groupon will face with this vertical is selection. Currently they have a 100 products for sale and the competition (Costco, Amazon Pantry and Sam’s Club) has a much bigger selection. Can Groupon really afford the battle with these grocery behemoths? I think not..

Continue Reading