Google Archives - Electric Thoughts in a Digital Era

The End of the Algorithm

When I started in e-commerce the algorithm was akin to a secret. It was immovable nor helpful but eas needed to be respected as it could hurt businesses.

Over the last 18 months, it has become clear that we are at the beginning of the end for the algorithm. Regulators are no longer satisfied with companies negatively impacting businesses, sellers, or customers. Self-regulation failed as platforms could grow revenues through the use of an algorithm without oversight, nor were there any consequences for anomalies that benefited one side of the platform partnerships.

Increasingly, European regulators are asking platforms and marketplaces for data and explanations of recommendation services or their algorithms that determine search results. What data is being used to calculate the location of listings (never mind relevance or accuracy), or how are recommendations being developed to drive additional consumer purchases? As artificial intelligence gains momentum and usage by platforms to drive personalization across various parts of the web, e-commerce, as we know, is likely ending. Bias, inaccuracy, and irrelevance can negatively impact platforms, consumers, and brands. Regulators want transparency to offer a level environment as competition intensifies in all e-commerce markets.

the end of the algorthim driven by Europe

Daydream, The Future of Commerce?

This past week felt like a blast from the past. Three funding announcements made me look twice and double-source the information to ensure it was correct. Daydream raised a $50M Seed, Waabi raised a $200M Series B, and Zepto raised a hefty $665M funding round. At a time when funding news is sparse, and check sizes are smaller, this is big news. I want to focus today on Daydream which I feel is exciting and maddening.

Daydream is trying to create a new form of personalized search. Enabling customers to experience women’s and men’s fashion in a new manner. What does that mean?

Is It Complicated Between Amazon and Google?

Over the last year, I have been tracking a story that has implications for the entire e-commerce sector (brands, vendors, agencies, and customers). Google’s relationship with one of its largest advertisers, Amazon, is strained, to say the least. What is Google’s north star, and how does it impact e-commerce platforms? Amazon spends millions to ensure customers can find whatever they need, yet it is clearly concerned over Google’s future ambitions. What is the end game for Google and Amazon?

Google and Organic Results

Google has one business—selling advertising alongside its search results. For some reason, Google feels that it needs to add artificial intelligence to its search results to help customers. I find that adding AI to its search engine is borderline crazy, as the beta has been diminishing the trust it’s built for years. Do OpenAI and Microsoft really pose such a threat that Google has to add untested technology to a multi-billion dollar business and risk losing customers? Or is this an admission that, internally, the company believes its search business has reached its plateau?

The Great Technology War between Giants

2012 was a year in which a bigger picture formed inside my thinking. Ecommerce is my day job and I think we are in a great period for commerce. Let us be clear about one thing, retail and ecommerce is no longer 2 channels. It is one massive opportunity for businesses and entrepreneurs to assist customers buying items whether it be online or in-store.

Mobile commerce in its current format is not the endgame in my mind. We are only scratching the surface on what mobile devices can do. Augmented reality, location and a variety of other things will play a role in commerce in the coming years.

Regular readers will be aware of my thinking regarding the big five. It is not the animals found in the game park but rather the big five technology businesses. I have written about it in the past when I looked at the Amazon effect but these companies drive the technology used by us on a daily basis.

The 10 e-commerce stories for the week ending 28 December 2012

Logistics is now a battleground, Apple and Google fighting over mobile, Amazon says a lot but it has no meaning and news from China, India and Malaysia.

As far as I am concerned 2012 is now in the record books. One working day left until 2013 and all the challenges it brings with it. Let me say this, I am looking forward to 2013 as I think we are in a bumper year of news. I am expecting a tough financial climate from April but in terms of ecommerce I think 2013 is a big year. Do Alibaba IPO? Is Groupon still around in 12 months time and does Rocket Internet have a plan for continued cloning or disruption (I think so, their businesses have raised big capital..).

If I look back over my posts in the last 12 months (yes, readers I know the content was not flowing the entire year), a few things stand out for me:

Amazon is a freight train that is going into territories that makes a wide range of competitors concerned. I am honest, I think Google and Amazon is going to headline 2013. Bezos wont relent until his creation owns the retail online space. No one is standing between him and the end goal.
eBay is standing at the door and the more I think about what they are doing, the more I think they have potential to be a story for 2013. Their mobile business is going into territories that not many have gone to.
Developing markets are now where the innovation happens. I spent a few weeks outside South Africa that made me realise that there is businesses across the globe pushing boundaries. I cant go into specifics but all I can say, is that ecommerce is now global.
2012 was the year in which logistics finally made it into the strategy meetings. Yes, I know logistics is only spoken about when things go bad but this past year, it became a battleground for entrepreneurs, retailers and corporates. Investment is going to determine survivors and speedy delivery will become like search on ecommerce business. Same day delivery is going to be expected by default.
Social commerce ended up being zilch. I got sucked into this and I must say social with commerce is either a pipe dream or is not being executed at the moment. ROI for facebook ads for ecommerce businesses most probably raises eyebrows at finance and nothing more. Vanity metrics is becoming commonplace in meetings. Building businesses on another non-owned platform is never a good thing.
The ecommerce business that made 2012 for me is fab.com. I really think that they potentially can be a business to outgrow the pack in 2013. Oh and they get mobile commerce. Starbucks almost got this “award”.
Readers there is a disruptor operating below the radar.. it is called Kickstarter. B2C just got turned upside down and in time I think the concept could be even more fine tuned.
I have a challenge for 2013 and that is to try and spend more time with startups. I met 3 this year and by all accounts, I think they will have a good 2013. There is one in Seattle, that I think will be a disruptor in 2013.
Mobile is and will continue to be the light at the end of the tunnel for ecommerce businesses. There is still lots of thinking to be done about mobile commerce.